AMERIKANSK FOTBOLL – NFL – FRE 20 DEC
|Power Rank för lag vecka 16
Grundserien: 5 september 2024 – 5 januari 2025
Slutspelet: 11 januari
NFL-finalen: 9 februari
Highlights: https://www.youtube.com/c/NFL/videos
***
TV4 PLAY:
Fredag
02:15 Los Angeles Chargers – Denver Broncos
Lördag:
19:00 Kansas City Chiefs – Houston Texans
22:30 Baltimore Ravens – Pittsburgh Steelers
Söndag:
19:00 New York Jets – Los Angeles Rams
19:00 Washington Commanders – Philadelphia Eagles
22:25 Miami Dolphins – San Francisco 49ers
Måndag:
02:20 Dallas Cowboys – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tisdag:
02:15 Green Bay Packers – New Orleans Saints
***
TIPPARE (TC) – (MD) – (KS) – (JR) torsdag
(TC) Miami Dolphins – San Francisco 49ers (Under 44.5) 1.97
(MD) WASHINGTON COMMANDERS – Philadelphia Eagles (+3.0) 2.14
(KS) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – Tennessee Titans (-3.5) 1.90
(JR) Kansas City Chiefs – Houston Texans (1a halvlek Under 21.0) 1.77
—
(TC) Los Angeles Chargers (17) – (40) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+3.0) 1.86
(MD) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (27) – (13) Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.0) 1.90
(KS) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (25) – (32) New York Jets (+3.5) 1.84
(JR) HOUSTON TEXANS (13) – (6) Miami Dolphins (1a Halvlek / Moneyline) 1.70
—
(TC) ( + 4.04 )( 015 – 010 – 005 )( 067% )
(MD) ( +1.42 )( 015 – 009 – 006 )( 060% )
(KS) ( -1.55 )( 015 – 007 – 008 )( 047% )
(JR) ( -2.92 )( 015 – 007 – 008 )( 047% )
***
TIPPARE (GR)
22:30 BALTIMORE RAVENS – Pittsburgh Steelers (BR / 27 – 17)
HK (-6.5) 2.00 ML: 1.36
—
Detroit Lions (42) – (48) BUFFALO BILLS (BB / 37 – 34)
HK (+2.5) 1.91 ML: 2.20
—
MONEYLINE ( + 6.63 )( 012 – 012 – 000 )( 100% )( Medelodds: 1.55 )
HANDIKAPP ( +0.62 )( 011 – 006 – 005 )( 055% )( Medelodds: 1.93 )
Val av match/er görs efter vad tipparen tycker är intressant att analysera och har inte en koppling till spel.
***
TIPPARE (CF) onsdag / fredag
Datasimulering med rank (Rx) av matchernas sannolikhet.
VECKA 1 – 15
STRAIGHT UP ( 70.5% )
AGAINST THE SPREAD ( 52.9% )
TOTAL ( 50.2% )
V15 (14 – 2) (10 – 6) (7 – 9)
Det är (CF) egen statistik.
(CF) jobbar med programmet för att förbättra total som har ett tveksamt värde i 50.2%.
—
MONEYLINE ( +16.75 )( 108 – 086 – 022 )( 080% )
R1 ( 1.59 )( 009 – 009 – 000 )( 100% )
R2 ( -0.03 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R3 ( 0.12 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R4 ( 0.47 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R5 ( 0.59 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R6 ( 2.19 )( 009 – 008 – 001 )( 089% )
R7 ( 2.82 )( 009 – 008 – 001 )( 089% )
R8 ( 1.78 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R9 ( 3.39 )( 009 – 008 – 001 )( 089% )
R10 ( 3.40 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R11 ( 1.89 )( 009 – 007 – 002 )( 078% )
R12 ( -1.46 )( 009 – 004 – 005 )( 044% )
Data: 20/10 – 17/12
Programmet bör visa bättre resultat ju mer data som finns tillgängligt under säsongen.
***
PINNACLE: Odds (måndag / tisdag) – (torsdag / söndag)
<<<20/FREDAG>>>
Los Angeles Chargers (34) – (27) Denver Broncos (DB / 22 – 21) (Rx)
(7:7, 6:14, 6:3, 15:3)
HK (-3.0) 1.92-1.96 ML: 1.61-2.42 (42.0) Ö-U 1.90-1.96
HK (-2.5) 1.84-2.05 ML: 1.68-2.30 (41.5) Ö-U 1.94-1.92
<<<21/LÖRDAG>>>
19:00 Kansas City Chiefs – Houston Texans (KCC / 23 – 21) (R11)
HK (+2.0) 1.92-1.92 ML: 2.12-1.76 (40.0) Ö-U1.93 1.91
22:30 Baltimore Ravens – Pittsburgh Steelers (BR / 27-20) (R5)
HK (-6.5) 1.97-1.91 ML: 1.36-3.30 (46.0) Ö-U 1.91-1.95
<<<22/SÖNDAG>>>
19:00 Atlanta Falcons – New York Giants (AF / 26 – 17) (R3)
HK (-10.0) 2.11-1.80 ML: 1.22-4.50 (42.0) Ö-U 1.91-1.95
19:00 Carolina Panthers – Arizona Cardinals (AC / 23 – 20) (R10)
HK (+3.5) 1.96-1.92 ML: 2.67-1.52 (46.5) Ö-U 1.90-1.96
19:00 Chicago Bears – Detroit Lions (DL / 27 – 20) (R6)
HK (+6.5) 1.94-1.94 ML: 3.40-1.35 (48.5) Ö-U 2.02-1.86
19:00 Cincinnati Bengals – Cleveland Browns (CB / 29 – 20) (R4)
HK (-7.0) 1.94-1.94 ML: 1.31-3.62 (49.5) Ö-U 1.99-1.88
19:00 Indianapolis Colts – Tennessee Titans (IC / 23 – 19) (R14)
HK (-4.5) 1.94-1.94 ML: 1.45-2.89 (42.5) Ö-U 1.93-1.93
19:00 New York Jets – Los Angeles Rams (LAR / 24 – 23) (R15)
HK (+3.0) 2.04-1.85 ML: 2.54-1.57 (47.0) Ö-U 1.99-1.88
19:00 Washington Commanders – Philadelphia Eagles (PE / 25 – 21) (R8)
HK (+3.5) 1.91-1.97 ML: 2.61-1.54 (46.5) Ö-U 1.90-1.96
22:05 Seattle Seahawks – Minnesota Vikings (MV / 23 – 21) (R12)
HK (+3.0) 1.92-1.92 ML: 2.36-1.62 (42.5) Ö-U 1.91-1.93
22:25 Las Vegas Raiders – Jacksonville Jaguars (JJ / 20 – 19) (R16)
HK (+1.0) 2.01-1.88 ML: 2.06-1.83 (39.0) Ö-U 1.94-1.92
22:25 Miami Dolphins – San Francisco 49ers (MD / 25 – 23) (R13)
HK (-2.5) 1.96-1.92 ML: 1.72-2.22 (46.0) Ö-U 1.87-2.00
22:25 Buffalo Bills – New England Patriots (BB / 30 – 15) (R1)
HK (-14.0) 1.93-1.94 ML: 1.10-7.70 (46.5) Ö-U 1.93-1.93
<<<23/MÅNDAG>>>
02:20 Dallas Cowboys – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TBB / 26 – 21) (R7)
HK (+4.0) 1.93-1.95 ML: 2.78-1.48 (49.0) Ö-U 2.00-1.87
<<<24/TISDAG>>>
02:15 Green Bay Packers – New Orleans Saints (GBP / 28 – 15) (R2)
HK (-13.5) 1.91-1.97 ML: 1.12-6.77 (42.0) Ö-U 1.93-1.93
***
SENASTE RESULTATEN:
<<<17/TISDAG>>>
Minnesota Vikings (30) – (12) Chicago Bears (MV / 27 – 17) (R3)
(10:0, 3:0, 7:3, 10:9)
HK (-6.5) 1.89-1.99 ML: 1.34-3.42 (43.5) Ö-U 1.85-2.02
HK (-7.0) 2.03-1.86 ML: 1.32-3.57 (43.5) Ö-U 1.87-2.00
02:30 Las Vegas Raiders (9) – (15) Atlanta Falcons (AF / 24 – 22) (R11)
(0:7, 3:2, 0:3, 6:3)
HK (+4.0) 1.99-1.89 ML: 2.83-1.47 (43.5) Ö-U 1.91-1.95
HK (+5.5) 1.94-1.94 ML: 3.09-1.40 (44.5) Ö-U 1.94-1.92
<<<16/MÅNDAG>>>
Seattle Seahawks (13) – (30) Green Bay Packers (SS / 24 – 22) (R12)
(0:14, 3:6, 3:3, 7:7)
HK (+2.0) 2.03-1.86 ML: 2.23-1.72 (47.0) Ö-U 1.93-1.93
HK (+2.5) 1.96-1.92 ML: 2.24-1.71 (46.0) Ö-U 1.87-2.00
<<<15/SÖNDAG>>>
Carolina Panthers (14) – (30) Dallas Cowboys (CP / 23 – 22) (R13)
(0:0, 7:10, 0:14, 7:6)
HK (-2.0) 1.86-2.03 ML: 1.71-2.24 (43.5) Ö-U 1.99-1.88
HK (-3.0) 2.02-1.86 ML: 1.64-2.36 (43.5) Ö-U 2.05-1.83
Cleveland Browns (7) – (21) Kansas City Chiefs (KCC / 26 – 20) (R6)
(0:7, 0:7, 7:7, 0:0)
HK (+4.0) 1.96-1-92 ML: 2.83-1.47 (45.5) Ö-U 1.93-1.93
HK (+4.5) 1.96-1.92 ML: 3.03-1.42 (42.0) Ö-U 2.02-1.85
Houston Texans (20) – (12) Miami Dolphins (HT / 26 – 22) (R9)
(3:0, 10:6, 7:6, 0:0)
HK (-2.5) 1.92-1.96 ML: 1.71-2.24 (47.0) Ö-U 1.89-1.98
HK (-2.5) 1.86-2.03 ML: 1.68-2.30 (45.5) Ö-U 1.91-1.95
Jacksonville Jaguars (25) – (32) New York Jets (NYJ / 21 – 18) (R10)
(7:7, 6:0, 3:10, 9:15)
HK (+3.0) 2.07-1.83 ML: 2.57-1.55 (40.0) Ö-U 2.00-1.87
HK (+3.5) 1,80-2.11 ML: 2.47-1.59 (40.5) Ö-U 1.86-2.00
New Orleans Saints (19) – (20) Washington Commanders (WC / 26 – 16) (R2)
(0:7, 0:7, 7:3, 12:3)
HK (+7.5) 1.93-1.95 ML: 3.96-1.27 (43.0) Ö-U 1.92-1.94
HK (+7.5) 1.95-1.93 ML: 4.09-1.26 (43.5) Ö-U 1.89-1.98
New York Giants (14) – (35) Baltimore Ravens (BR / 29 – 16) (R1)
(0:7, 7:14, 0:7, 7:7)
HK (+14.5) 1.91-1.97 ML: 1.09-8.07 (43.5) Ö-U 1.91-1.95
HK (+16.5) 1.97-1.91 ML: 1.06-9.93 (42.5) Ö-U 1.90-1.97
Tennessee Titans (27) – (37) Cincinnati Bengals (CB / 25 – 21) (R8)
(14:7, 0:17, 0:7, 13:6)
HK (+5.0) 1.94-1.94 ML: 2.96-1.43 (47.0) Ö-U 1.97-1.89
HK (+5.0) 2.00-1.89 ML: 3.08-1.41 (46.0) Ö-U 1.86-2.01
Arizona Cardinals (30) – (17) New England Patriots (AC / 25 – 19) (R5)
(10:0, 3:3, 3:0, 14:14)
HK (-6.0) 1.88-2.01 ML: 1.36-3.32 (45.0) Ö-U 1.89-1.98
HK (-6.0) 1.92-1.96 ML: 1.36-3.31 (46.5) Ö-U 1.93-1.93
Denver Broncos (31) – (13) Indianapolis Colts (DB / 24 – 18) (R4)
(0:7, 7:6, 3:0, 21:0)
HK (-5.0) 2.01-1.88 ML: 1.45-2.89 (43.5) Ö-U 2.00-1.87
HK (-3.5) 1.82-2.08 ML: 1.45-2.88 (43.5) Ö-U 1.92-1.94
Detroit Lions (42) – (48) Buffalo Bills (BB / 28 – 27) (R16)
(0:14, 14:7, 7:14, 21:13)
HK (-2.5) 1.91-1.97 ML: 1.70-2.26 (54.0) Ö-U 2.02-1.85
HK (-2.5) 1.97-1.91 ML: 1.74-2.20 (54.0) Ö-U 1.92-1.94
Los Angeles Chargers (17) – (40) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TBB / 24 – 23) (R15)
(7:7, 10:6, 0:17, 0:10)
HK (-3.0) 2.02-1.87 ML: 1.65-2.35 (46.0) Ö-U 1.90-1.97
HK (-3.0) 2.01-1.88 ML: 1.65-2.34 (45.0) Ö-U 1.92-1.94
Philadelphia Eagles (27) – (13) Pittsburgh Steelers (PE / 26 – 20) (R7)
(10:3, 7:10, 3:0, 7:0)
HK (-4.5) 1.86-2.02 ML: 1.43-2.97 (44.0) Ö-U 2.04-1.84
HK (-5.5) 1.93-1.95 ML: 1.40-3.08 (43.0) Ö-U 1.97-1.90
<<<13/FREDAG>>>
San Francisco 49ers (6) – (12) Los Angeles Rams (LAR / 24 – 23) (R14)
(3:0, 0:3, 3:0, 0:9)
HK (-1.5) 1.89-2.00 ML: 1.76-2.15 (49.0) Ö-U 1.92-1.94
HK (-2.5) 1.84-2.08 ML: 1.66-2.35 (49.0) Ö-U 1.96-1.92
***
POWER RANKING LAG (NFL) onsdag
Vecka (16) (15) (14)
Philadelphia Eagles (01) (02) (03)
Buffalo Bills (02) (04) (02)
Kansas City Chiefs (03) (03) (04)
Detroit Lions (04) (01) (01)
Minnesota Vikings (05) (05) (05)
Green Bay Packers (06) (07) (06)
Baltimore Ravens (07) (08) (08)
Pittsburgh Steelers (08) (06) (07)
Denver Broncos (09) (10) (10)
Washington Commanders (10) (11) (11)
Houston Texans (11) (12) (12)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12) (14) (13)
Los Angeles Chargers (13) (09) (09)
Los Angeles Rams (14) (15) (16)
Seattle Seahawks (15) (13) (14)
Arizona Cardinals (16) (16) (15)
Atlanta Falcons (17) (20) (19)
San Francisco 49ers (18) (17) (20)
Miami Dolphins (19) (19) (18)
Cincinnati Bengals (20) (21) (22)
Dallas Cowboys (21) (22) (21)
Indianapolis Colts (22) (18) (17)
New Orleans Saints (23) (23) (24)
Chicago Bears (24) (24) (23)
Cleveland Browns (25) (25) (25)
New York Jets (26) (27) (27)
Carolina Panthers (27) (26) (26)
Jacksonville Jaguars (28) (29) (32)
New England Patriots (29) (28) (29)
Tennessee Titans (30) (30) (28)
Las Vegas Raiders (31) (31) (30)
New York Giants (32) (32) (31)
***
POWER RANKING QB (NFL)
Vecka (14) (12)
Buffalo Bills – Josh Allen (1) (3)
Baltimore Ravens – Lamar Jackson (2) (1)
Cincinnati Bengals Joe Burrow (3) (2)
Detroit Lions – Jared Goff (4) (6)
Kansas City Chiefs – Patrick Mahomes (5) (5)
Green Bay Packers – Jordan Love (6) (15)
Pittsburgh Steelers – Russell Wilson (7) (20)
Los Angeles Chargers – Justin Herbert (8) (4)
Washington Commanders – Jayden Daniels (9) (10)
Minnesota Vikings – Sam Darnold (10) (16)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Baker Mayfield (11) (09)
Arizona Cardinals – Kyler Murray (12) (07)
Los Angeles Rams – Matthew Stafford (13) (11)
Miami Dolphins – Tua Tagovailoa (14) (17)
Seattle Seahawks – Geno Smith (15) (14)
Chicago Bears – Caleb Williams (16) (26)
Philadelphia Eagles – Jalen Hurts (17) (13)
San Francisco 49ers – Brock Purdy (18) (08)
Denver Broncos – Bo Nix (19) (22)
Cleveland Browns – Jameis Winston (20) (25)
New Orleans Saints – Derek Carr (21) (18)
Carolina Panthers – Bryce Young (22) (27)
Houston Texans – C.J. Stroud (23) (12)
New England Patriots – Drake Maye (24) (24)
Tennessee Titans – Will Levis (25) (28)
Las Vegas Raiders – Aidan O’Connell (26) (xx)
Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevor Lawrence (27) (xx)
New York Jets – Aaron Rodgers (28) (23)
Indianapolis Colts – Anthony Richardson (29) (21)
Dallas Cowboys – Cooper Rush (30) (30)
Atlanta Falcons – Kirk Cousins (31) (19)
New York Giants – Drew Lock (32) (xx)
—
Las Vegas Raiders – Gardner Minshew (xx) (29)
New York Giants – Daniel Jones (xx) (31)
Jacksonville Jaguars – Mac Jones (xx) (32)
***
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